| 我国三大都市圈人口迁移态势与影响因素分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 俞路,张善余.我国三大都市圈人口迁移态势与影响因素分析[J].南方人口,2005,20(3):17-23. |
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| 作者姓名： | 俞路 张善余 |
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| 作者单位： | 华东师范大学人口研究所,上海,200062 |
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| 摘 要： | 三大都市圈是中国重要的经济承载区和人口承载区,对三大都市圈的人口迁移研究对于整个中国的人口迁移研究来说很具有代表性。本文运用空间统计中有关方向和距离的研究方法来研究三大都市圈人口迁移规律。研究结果表明,影响地区之间人口迁移量的主要因素有经济差距、人口规模、地理距离和气候差别。根据分析结果,参照吉佛的引力模型建立三大都市圈与全国其它各地州市的人口迁移量模型。
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| 关 键 词： | 人口迁移 空间统计 迁移距离 迁移流向 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-1613(2005)03-0017-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年6月14日 |
The Migration Flow and The Affecting Variables: A Case Study of the Three megalopolises of China |
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| YU Lu,ZHANG Shan-yu.The Migration Flow and The Affecting Variables: A Case Study of the Three megalopolises of China[J].South China Population,2005,20(3):17-23. |
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| Authors: | YU Lu ZHANG Shan-yu |
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| Institution: | YU Lu,ZHANG Shan-yuPopulation Research Institute,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China |
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| Abstract: | The Three megalopolises are the most important economy regions and population zones, obviously, the study of the migration flow in the three megalopolis is of great significance to the nation's migration. Using the methods of direction and distances in the spatial statistics, this paper analyzes the migration data from 2000 Census, and finds the variables affecting the migration in the three megalopolises are economic gap, population size, geographic distances and climate difference. Based on the analysis and with reference to Jifu 's population gravity model, a model is built up to explain the population migration flow between the three megalopolises and the rest regions of China. |
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| Keywords: | Population Migration Spatial Statistics Migration Distance Migration Direction |
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