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低生育率水平下人口发展的经济后果分析
引用本文:王金营.低生育率水平下人口发展的经济后果分析[J].南方人口,2004,19(3):1-6.
作者姓名:王金营
作者单位:河北大学人口研究所,河北,保定,071002
摘    要:本文分析了低生育率水平下人口发展对未来我国经济发展的积极影响 ,同时指出它是一把双刃剑 ,同样也有不利于经济发展的后果。为了既充分发挥低生育水平的积极作用 ,又逐步消除或缓解其不良后果 ,一方面要适时地调整现行生育政策 ,选择适当的总和生育率水平 ,另一方面要构建相应的政策支持体系予以支撑。

关 键 词:总和生育率  经济增长  经济后果
文章编号:1004-1613(2004)03-0001-06
修稿时间:2004年5月11日

An Analysis of the Economic Effects of Population Development Under Low Fertility
WANG Jin-ying Population Institute of Hebei University,Baoding China.An Analysis of the Economic Effects of Population Development Under Low Fertility[J].South China Population,2004,19(3):1-6.
Authors:WANG Jin-ying Population Institute of Hebei University  Baoding China
Institution:WANG Jin-ying Population Institute of Hebei University,Baoding 071002 China
Abstract:This paper analyzes the positive and the negative effects of population development under low fertility on the social and economic development in China. It is important for the policy-makers to consider how to make most use of its positive effects while how to gradually eliminate or abate its negative effects. The paper suggests the government may consider some adjustment of the current family planning policy and select a proper total fertility rate level as well as the policy system to support the new fertility policy .
Keywords:Total Fertility Rate  Economic Growth  Economic Effects  
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