基于公共政策视阈的城市规划决策方法探析

为了完善城市规划决策方法,从政策分析的视角谋求城市规划决策科学化,研究探讨了城市规划决策中的规划方案筛选、规划评审、规划修订、规划评价等主要节点,分析了城市规划政策决策要考量的效用、风险、灵敏性和回应性等关键参数,并与实际结合,探索公共决策方法在城市规划特定决策中的应用,包括决策树在规划方案选择中的应用、交叉影响分析在规划前景预测中的应用、灵敏度分析在规划方案转换中的应用等。

An Analysis on the Decision-making Methods of Urban Planning from the Perspective of Public Policy

In order to improve the decision-making methods of urban planning,this research,from the perspective of policy analysis,probes into the main nodes of urban planning decision-making such as project selection and plan review,amendment as well as evaluation.Then it analyzes the key parameters of urban planning decision-making such as utility,risk,sensitivity and responsiveness.What is more,taking into account real-world practices,it also explores the applications of public decision-making methods in urban planning including decision trees used for project selection,cross impact analysis for planning forecast and sensitivity analysis for project conversion.