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On Testing Changes in Autoregressive Parameters of a VAR Model
Authors:Marek Dvořák  Zuzana Prášková
Affiliation:1. Faculty of Mathematics and Physics , Charles University in Prague , Prague , Czech Republic dvorakm@karlin.mff.cuni.cz;3. Faculty of Mathematics and Physics , Charles University in Prague , Prague , Czech Republic
Abstract:The article deals with the problem of testing a change in autoregressive matrices of the p-th order vector autoregressive process, VAR(p). The proposed test statistics are based on the likelihood ratio concept and are studied under the null hypothesis of no change in parameters. Their asymptotic behavior is derived under minimal moment assumptions in both cases where the time point of possible change is known a priori and is undefined. The Gumbel-type approximation of the test statistic is also developed, which previous papers on VAR(p) models do not cover.
Keywords:Hypotheses testing  Structural changes  VAR models
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