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A Weighted Linear Estimator of Multivariate ARCH Parameters
Authors:Farhat Iqbal
Affiliation:1. Department of Statistics , University of Balochistan , Quetta, Pakistan farhat.stats@uob.edu.pk
Abstract:A weighted linear estimator (WLE) of the parameters of multivariate ARCH models is proposed. The accuracy of WLE in estimating the parameters of multivariate ARCH models is compared with the widely used quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) through simulations. Application to real data sets are also presented and forecasts of variance-covariance matrix and value-at-risk (VaR) are obtained. The weighted resampling methods are used to approximate the sampling distribution of the proposed estimator. Our study indicates that the forecasting performance of WLE is not inferior and one-day ahead risk estimates are also found better than the QMLE.
Keywords:ARCH  Linear estimator  VaR  Weighted resampling
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