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Bayes and Empirical Bayes Inference in Changepoint Problems
Authors:Heng Lian
Affiliation:1. Division of Mathematical Sciences , SPMS, Nanyang Technological University , Singapore henglian@ ntu.edu.sg
Abstract:ABSTRACT

In the case of the random design nonparametric regression, the double smoothing technique is applied to estimate the multivariate regression function. The proposed estimator has desirable properties in both the finite sample and the asymptotic cases. In the finite sample case, it has bounded conditional (and unconditional) bias and variance. On the other hand, in the asymptotic case, it has the same mean square error as the local linear estimator in Fan (Design-Adaptive Nonparametric Regression. Journal of the American Statistical Association 1992, 87, 998–1004; Local Linear Regression Smoothers and Their Minimax Efficiencies. Annals of Statistics 1993, 21, 196–216). Simulation studies demonstrate that the proposed estimator is better than the local linear estimator, because it has a smaller sample mean integrated square error and gives smoother estimates.
Keywords:Empirical Bayes  Forward–backward algorithm  Hierarchical Bayesian model  Monte Carlo EM
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