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Robustness of Bayes Prediction Under Error-in-Variables Superpopulation Model
Authors:Priyanka Aggarwal  Ashok K Bansal
Institution:1. Department of Statistics , University of Delhi , Delhi , India ag_priyanka@yahoo.com;3. Department of Statistics , University of Delhi , Delhi , India
Abstract:In this article, we consider Bayes prediction in a finite population under the simple location error-in-variables superpopulation model. Bayes predictor of the finite population mean under Zellner's balanced loss function and the corresponding relative losses and relative savings loss are derived. The prior distribution of the unknown location parameter of the model is assumed to have a non-normal distribution belonging to the class of Edgeworth series distributions. Effects of non normality of the “true” prior distribution and that of a possible misspecification of the loss function on the Bayes predictor are illustrated for a hypothetical population.
Keywords:Balanced loss function  Bayes predictor  Edgeworth prior  Error-in-variables model  Kullback–Leibler distance  Minimal Bayes predictive expected loss  Relative loss  Relative savings loss
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