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A random weighting approach for posterior distributions
Authors:Zai-Ying Zhou  Ying Yang
Institution:1. Department of Mathematical Sciences, Tsinghua University, Beijing, P. R. China;2. School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu, P. R. Chinazhouzaiying12@mails.tsinghua.edu.cn
Abstract:ABSTRACT

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but typically difficult. Therefore, some methods have been proposed to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic expansions of posterior distributions. In this paper, we propose an alternative approach, named a random weighting method, for scaled posterior distributions, and give an ideal convergence rate, o(n( ? 1/2)), which serves as the theoretical guarantee for methods of numerical simulations.
Keywords:Asymptotic expansion  Posterior distribution  Random weighting method  
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