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A Bayesian Approach to the Estimation of Expected Cell Counts by Using Log-Linear Models
Authors:H Demirhan  C Hamurkaroglu
Institution:1. Department of Statistics , Hacettepe University , Beytepe, Ankara, Turkey haydarde@hacettepe.edu.tr;3. Department of Statistics , Hacettepe University , Beytepe, Ankara, Turkey
Abstract:ABSTRACT

In this article, Bayesian estimation of the expected cell counts for log-linear models is considered. The prior specified for log-linear parameters is used to determine a prior for expected cell counts, by means of the family and parameters of prior distributions. This approach is more cost-effective than working directly with cell counts because converting prior information into a prior distribution on the log-linear parameters is easier than that of on the expected cell counts. While proceeding from the prior on log-linear parameters to the prior of the expected cell counts, we faced with a singularity problem of variance matrix of the prior distribution, and added a new precision parameter to solve the problem. A numerical example is also given to illustrate the usage of the new parameter.
Keywords:Bayesian posterior estimates  Expected cell counts  Geweke's modified z-test  Gibbs sampling  Hierarchical modeling  Log-linear model  Log-normal prior  Multivariate log-normal distribution  Multivariate normal distribution
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