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A Wavelet-Based Approach of Testing for Granger Causality in the Presence of GARCH Effects
Authors:Kristofer Månsson
Affiliation:1. Department of Economics, Finance and Statistics , J?nk?ping University , J?nk?ping , Sweden kristofer.mansson@ihh.hj.se
Abstract:The size and power of the most commonly used tests and a new wavelet-based approach of testing for Granger causality is evaluated by means of a Monte Carlo study in which the error term follows a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity consistent (GARCH) process. In the simulation study it is shown that the commonly used causality tests tend to overreject the true null hypothesis in the presence of GARCH errors and that the new wavelet-based approach improves the size properties of the Granger causality test for all of the different situations evaluated.
Keywords:GARCH  Granger causality  Power  Size  Wavelet
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