Model of Combined Prevision: An Application of the Monthly Series of Dengue Notifications in the State of Pernambuco |
| |
Authors: | Dirac Moutinho Cordeiro |
| |
Affiliation: | Mathematics Department Polytechnic School , University of Pernambuco, UPE , Recife, Brazil |
| |
Abstract: | In this paper we state and justify a two-stage sampling procedure for selecting a subset of size m containing the t best of k independent normal populations, when the ranking parameters are the population means. We do not assume that the variances of the populations are known or equal. Discrete event simulation studies are often concerned with choosing one or more system designs which are best in some sense. We present empirical results from a typical simulation application for which the observations are not normally distributed. |
| |
Keywords: | Bayesian approach Beta distribution Box and Jenkins Dengue Dynamic linear model Model of combined prevision Monte Carlo error Winters |
|
|