低年龄人口数据质量的分析与评价

文章从人口统计数据系统存在的矛盾出发,对低年龄人口数据质量进行了分析与评价,并利用人口系统以外的教育数据来对人口数据进行了校验。结果表明,在考虑死亡的情况下,2000年人口普查数据中对应的0～3岁人口平均每个年龄组漏报了近340万人。这种漏报对中国生育水平、老龄化程度、未来劳动力供给状况、未来育龄人群人数、男女婴儿死亡率和出生性别比等重要人口指标的准确性产生了重要影响。

Evaluation and Analysis of Quality of Low-age Population Data

By analyzing the contradiction existing in population data system,we evaluate the quality of population data at low age,and use data from education system to conduct a detailed verification. The results show that the population aged 0-3 in 2000 census data was underreported by almost 3.4 million people in each age group. This omission had a significant impact on the accuracy of many statistics,such as fertility rate,aging,the future labor supply,the future number of people in child-bearing age,male and fema...