中国转基因水稻产业化争论研究——基于核心群体网络争论文本的计量统计分析

通过对中国转基因水稻产业化争论过程中核心群体网络争论文本发布的计量统计分析,得出相关结论:(1)争论于2010年3月达到高潮,之后趋于平稳;除政府官员外,其他各核心群体一直跟进网络争论。(2)核心群体网络争论主题有四个:主题1——环境风险和健康风险;主题2——粮食安全和主权安全;主题3——主体资格;主题4——利益倾向。对争论主题聚焦最多的是主题1,其次是主题2,再次是主题4,最后是主题3;主题1和2以及主题1、2、4作为组合被核心群体较多聚焦,其次是主题1和3组合以及主题1和4组合,其他主题组合被很少聚焦,主题3和4不被作为组合使用。(3)转基因产业科学家、新语丝网友、政府官员持赞成态度,形成一个争论联盟;环保人士、科学文化人、绿色和平(中国)、乌有之乡网友持反对态度,形成另外一个争论联盟;其他领域科学家总体持赞成态度,但也有一部分成员持反对态度,情况较为复杂。(4)在争论过程中,上述两个争论联盟相互转载网络争论文本以寻求声援,而且他们也有选择地从其他领域科学家那里转载网络争论文本,以寻求声援;以上各核心群体都从相关媒体转载大量持相同态度的争论文本,以寻求声援。(5)核心群体网络争论反驳型文本数相较于辩护型的文本要多得多,这表明本次争论的对抗性总体而言是很强的;政府官员和绿色和平(中国)辩护型的原创文本数相较于反驳型的文本数多得多,表明这两个群体并不热衷于直接参与争论。

Study on the Controversy of Transgenic Rice Industrialization in China——Based on the Quantitative Statistical Analysis of the Network Controversial Texts of Core Groups

The quantitative statistical analysis of published network controversial texts by core groups in the controversial process of transgenic rice industrialization in China is performed to draw relevant conclusions:(1) Debates reached a climax in March 2010,and since then they have become steady;except government officials,each of the other core groups has followed up the network controversy.(2) The core groups have four network controversial topics: Topic 1-environmental risks and health risks,Topic 2-food security and sovereignty security,Topic 3-main body qualification,and Topic 4-tendency of interests;Topic 1 is mostly focused,then Topic 2,thirdly Topic 4,and finally Topic 3;Topics 1 and 2,and Topics 1,2 and 4 as combinations are most focused,the combination of Topics 1 and 3 and the combination of Topics 1 and 4 come next,the combination of the other topics are seldom focused,and Topics 3 and 4 are not used as combination.(3) Scientists of transgenic industry,net friends of New Threads and government officials take a favorable attitude,and form a controversial alliance;environmentalists,scientific intellectuals,Greenpeace(China) and net friends of Utopia hold a attitude of objection,and form another controversial alliance;scientists of the other fields take a favorable attitude in the mass,but some members hold the attitude of objection,so the situation is complex.(4) In the process of controversy,the above two controversial alliances mutually reproduce network controversial texts to seek support,and they also selectively reproduce a lot of controversial texts with the same attitude from scientists of other fields to seek support;all the core groups reproduce a lot of controversial texts with the same attitude from the relevant media to seek support.(5) The number of controversial and refuting texts of core groups is much larger than that of defensing texts,which indicates that the opposability of the controversy is very strong in the mass;the number of defensing original texts of government officials and Greenpeace(China) is much larger than that of refuting texts,which indicates that these two groups are not keen to participate directly in the controversy.