| 中国经济周期波动的产业结构特征 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐敬君,刘恒.中国经济周期波动的产业结构特征[J].云南民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2005,22(3):31-37. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐敬君 刘恒 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 云南民族大学,云南,昆明,650031
2. 西南财经大学,经济学院,四川,成都,610074 |
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| 摘 要： | 在中国工业化进程的不同时期,三次产业周期波动具有自身的显著特征,它们对国民经济整体波动的影响程度是不同的。总体而言,新中国成立以后,第二产业,尤其是工业的波动是国民经济整体波动最主要的推动力量;第一产业周期波动对国民经济波动的影响程度明显减弱,但是,由于农业对于中国经济发展的特殊意义及其不可动摇的基础性地位,其波动的影响力仍然不能忽视;第三产业周期波动对国民经济波动的影响程度逐渐上升。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济周期 产业波动 结构特征 计量分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-867X(2005)03-0031-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年3月18日 |
The Traits of Industrial Structure of the Periodic Fluctuation of China's Economy |
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| XU Jing-jun,LIU Heng.The Traits of Industrial Structure of the Periodic Fluctuation of China''''s Economy[J].Journal of Yunnan Nationalities University:Social Sciences,2005,22(3):31-37. |
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| Authors: | XU Jing-jun LIU Heng |
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| Abstract: | In the process of industrialization in China, the three periodic fluctuations have their own traits with different kinds of influence on the national economy. Generally speaking, since 1949 the fluctuation of the secondary industry has been the dominant force on the fluctuation of the national economy as a whole, while agriculture as the primary industry with its special significance and undeniable position has exerted less influence, and the fluctuation of the tertiary industry has exerted an increasing influence on the national economy. |
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| Keywords: | economic cycle industrial fluctuation structure trait quantitative analysis |
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