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Fisher information and maximum-likelihood estimation of covariance parameters in Gaussian stochastic processes
Authors:Markus Abt  William J. Welch
Abstract:The inverse of the Fisher information matrix is commonly used as an approximation for the covariance matrix of maximum-likelihood estimators. We show via three examples that for the covariance parameters of Gaussian stochastic processes under infill asymptotics, the covariance matrix of the limiting distribution of their maximum-likelihood estimators equals the limit of the inverse information matrix. This is either proven analytically or justified by simulation. Furthermore, the limiting behaviour of the trace of the inverse information matrix indicates equivalence or orthogonality of the underlying Gaussian measures. Even in the case of singularity, the estimator of the process variance is seen to be unbiased, and also its variability is approximated accurately from the information matrix.
Keywords:Consistency  equivalent measures  Gaussian random measures  infill asymptotics  orthogonal measures
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