| 出口信用保险国家经济风险评价——以泰国为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 周延,郝玉.出口信用保险国家经济风险评价——以泰国为例[J].山东大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2007(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 周延 郝玉 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东大学,经济学院,山东,济南,250100;山东大学,经济学院,山东,济南,250100 |
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| 基金项目： | 山东大学校科研和教改项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 进入20世纪90年代以来,经济危机频繁爆发,而传统的国家经济风险评价都未能对亚洲经济危机做出正确的预测,致使损失惨重。因此,在国际经济环境的背景下,出口信用保险国家经济风险评价体系——以外汇收支原则建立的国家经济市场价值模型的提出意义非凡,且以泰国为例进行了实证检验,发现该评价体系确能较准确反映一国经济风险,对我国出口信用保险国家经济风险的防范也具有较好的借鉴意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 出口信用保险国家经济风险 流量指标 存量指标 |
The Evaluation of National Economic Risk in Export Credit Insurance: A Case Study of Thailand |
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| ZHOU Yan,HAO Yu.The Evaluation of National Economic Risk in Export Credit Insurance: A Case Study of Thailand[J].Journal of Shandong University(Philosophy and Social Sciences),2007(6). |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Yan HAO Yu |
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| Abstract: | Since the 1990's,the economic crisis broke up frequently,but the traditional evaluation of national economic risk didn't forecast the crisis correctly,leading to a great loss.It is important to stablish a new system for the evaluation of national economic risk in export credit insurance against the background of the international economic environment and on the basis of a balance of revenue and expense.Taking Thailand as the example.The present article is an empirical study of its veracity.Such a study is important for prevneting China's economic risk. |
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| Keywords: | national economic risk of export credit insurance flux index inventory index |
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