| 辽宁省进出口贸易影响因素实证分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 邱爱莲,安玉梅.辽宁省进出口贸易影响因素实证分析[J].沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）,2016,9(3):207-213. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邱爱莲 安玉梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 沈阳工业大学 经济学院, 沈阳110870 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于相关理论初步筛选出辽宁省进出口贸易的主要影响因素,利用1990—2013年的数据,采用向量自回归模型对其进行实证分析。研究发现:GDP对出口影响最大,人力资本的影响存在滞后作用,FDI以及科技投入与出口呈负相关关系。四大影响因素中只有科技投入与辽宁省进口贸易呈正相关关系。
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| 关 键 词： | 对外贸易 出口贸易 进口贸易 向量自回归模型 影响因素 |
Empirical analysis on influencing factors of import and export trade in Liaoning Province |
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| QIU Ai-lian,AN Yu-mei.Empirical analysis on influencing factors of import and export trade in Liaoning Province[J].Journal of Shenyang University of Technology(Social Science Edition),2016,9(3):207-213. |
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| Authors: | QIU Ai-lian AN Yu-mei |
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| Institution: | School of Economics, Shenyang University of Technology, Shenyang 110870, China |
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| Abstract: | The main influencing factors of import and export trade in Liaoning Province are firstly screened out based on related theories. The empirical analysis on them is carried out with VAR model by using the data from 1990 to 2013. It is found that the most important factor on the export trade is GDP, human capital has lagged effect, and FDI as well as scientific and technological investment have negative correlation with export. Among the four factors, only the scientific and technological investment has positive effect on the import trade in Liaoning Province. |
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| Keywords: | international trade export trade import trade VAR model influencing factor |
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