北京市终端能源消费与 GDP 及大气环境的关联分析

以北京市终端能源消费与GDP和大气环境为研究对象，采用灰色关联法，分析北京市能源消费终端对GDP、能源消费和大气污染的贡献程度，结果显示：北京市商业部门能源消费量与能源消费总量的关联度最大；交通运输部门能源消费量与GDP关联度最大；工业部门能源消费量与大气环境的关联度最大。为引导北京市经济、能源和环境的协调发展，应控制商业部门的能源消费量和污染物排放；优化交通运输布局；推动从传统建筑到绿色建筑的转型；调整产业结构和能源消费结构。

An Analysis of the Correlation between Terminal Energy Consumption,GDP and Atmospheric Environment in Beijing

This paper investigates into the contribution of terminal energy consumptions to GDP ,energy consumption and atmospheric pollution in Beijing with the approach of grey correlation analysis .Results show that the energy consumption of commercial departments has the largest correlation with overall the en-ergy consumption ,and that the energy consumption of traffic departments has the maximum correlation withGDP ,while the energy consumption of industrial departments has the maximum correlation with the atmospheric environment .It is proposed that the balance between the economy ,energy and the environ-ment in Beijing calls for the coordinated policies to control the energy consumption and pollutant emissions of commercial departments ,to optimize the layout of transportation ,to promote the transformation from traditional architecture to green buildings ,and to regulate the industrial structure and energy consumption-structures .