陕西高等教育与经济发展的协整分析

为探究陕西省作为高等教育强省与经济弱省并存的原因，运用协整理论对1980～2004年陕西省高等教育与经济发展水平进行分析检验。分析认为，陕西省经济增长同高等教育，尤其是普通高等教育之间尚未形成一个良性互动的关系；从长期来看，高等职业教育对经济增长的弹性要大于普通高等教育的弹性。分析结果表明，陕西省高等教育的发展应以提高人力资本存量作为核心目标，大力发展高职教育，以实现高等教育与经济发展的良性互动。

Co-integration analysis for the relationship between higher education and economic development in Shaanxi Province

In order to explore the reason of a well-developed education system and an underdevel-oped economics in Shaanxi Province, the authors have carefully analyzed the relationship between higher education and the economic development level in Shaanxi Province from 1984 to 2004 in a co-integrated way. The results of the analysis show that a better interactive relationship between the speed of Shaanxi economic growth and the local higher education development, especially general higher education, has not yet been truly established. In a long term, the effect of higher vocational education on the local eco- nomic growth is more flexible than that of general higher education. Therefore, the authors believe that the future higher education of Shaanxi Province should be focused on increasing and improving the storage of the human resources, and to greatly develop vocational higher education will be an effective way to achieve this goal.