On the Specification of Propensity Scores,With Applications to the Analysis of Trade Policies |
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| Authors: | David A Bessler Ronald A Babula |
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| Institution: | 1. Department of Agricultural Economics , Texas A&2. M University , College Station , TX , 77843-2124;3. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service , 1301 New York Avenue, N.W., Washington , DC , 20005-4788 |
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| Abstract: | A vector autoregression is fit to recent U.S. data on wheat prices, wheat export sales, wheat export shipments, and exchange rates. Forecast error decompositions and out-of-sample forecasts indicate that exchange rates have little influence on wheat sales and shipments. |
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| Keywords: | Forecast Sales Shipments Vector autoregression |
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