20世纪90年代京津沪城市经济发展与外来人口比较研究

本文通过比较20世纪90年代京津沪城市经济发展和外来人口规模,得出结论:从经济发展水平看,虽然天津明显滞后于北京和上海,但近几年天津经济的后发优势逐渐显现;天津人口自然增长率高于京沪,但迁移增长率较低,从趋势上看,京沪净迁移率趋于上升,天津则陷入停滞;在常住人口增长方面,天津显著落后于其他两个城市,年均增长率约为京沪的一半,其主要原因是天津外来人口增加的规模较小、速度较慢,非户籍常住人口占总人口的比重低。此外,京津沪外来人口在空间分布、时间分布、职业分布和年龄结构方面也存在显著差异。

Research on Economic Development and The scale of Floating Population Among Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai in 1990s

Through comparing the relationship of economic development and the scale of floating population among Beijing,Tianjin and Shanghai in 1990s,this paper provides some conclusions: From the angle of economic developing,Tianjin has get behind Beijing and Shanghai obviously.However,the potential advantage of Tianjin is gradually appearing.From the angle of the rate of population natural increase,Tianjin is higher than Beijing and Shanghai.At the same time,from the angle of the rate of population migration increase,Tianjin is lower than others.In the aspect of de jure population,Tianjin evidently follows behind others,since the scale of floating population is smaller and the proportion of floating population to the gross population is lower in Tianjin.Furthermore,there are some else differences of floating population among three cities,such as space structure,career structure and age structure.