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Real options valuation principle in the multi-period base-stock problem
Authors:Peter Berling  
Institution:aDepartment of Industrial Management and Logistics, Lund University, P.O. Box 118, SE-221 00 Lund, Sweden
Abstract:This paper analyzes the multi-period base-stock problem where there is a financial risk associated with a stochastic demand. For the single-period problem, it is known that the optimal inventory policy can be obtained with the Black and Scholes option pricing formula. This paper pushes the analysis further by applying the options valuation framework to the multi-period problem and presenting an algorithm for finding the optimal inventory policy. A computational study indicates that the effect of systematic risk is typically negligible (as for the single-period problem). Therefore, it can be concluded that systematic risk in demand is of little importance for optimal inventory control.
Keywords:Inventory theory  Risk  Cost benefit analysis newsboy problem
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