我国未来老年贫困的风险分析

未来老年人指在1975年以前出生的人群。伴随社会经济发展,未来老年人的收入来源多元化,经济和心理自立能力不断增强。但是,未来老年人中相当一部分人目前处于贫困或贫困的边缘,这种状况一方面会通过非正式支持对上下两代贫困风险产生影响,另一方面会影响到他们的老年期,表现出老年期资源累积不足的倾向。因此,延续性贫困可能是未来老年贫困的一大原因。

Risk Analysis of Elderly Poverty in China in the Future

With the social and economic development, the form of income diversifies and people's economic and psychological abilities of independence enhance as well. However, some of the future elderly, who are going to witness the fastest period of population aging and the period of the largest number of the oldest old, are now in the poverty or at the edge of poverty. In the situation, the poverty risk of the two generations would be influenced through informal support. On the other hand, support from elderly themselves or external side would be affected in the old age, which means that resources in the old age tend to be deficient. Thus, continuity poverty would probably be an important reason for elderly poverty in the future.