The Influence of Temporary Employment on Unemployment Exits in a Competing Risks Framework |
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Authors: | José M Arranz Carlos García-Serrano Luis Toharia |
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Institution: | 1.Departamento de Fundamentos de Economía e Historia Económica,Universidad de Alcalá,Alcalá de Henares, Madrid,Spain |
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Abstract: | Using Spanish longitudinal data from the period 1992–2004, this paper examines labour market transitions of the newly unemployed
in order to investigate the determinants of unemployment duration in a competing risks framework with four destination states:
temporary employment, permanent employment, self-employment and inactivity. Special emphasis is placed on the influence of
previous job variables. We find that individuals who become unemployed due to the end of a temporary contract are more likely
to exit unemployment by finding another temporary job and less likely to exit through permanent jobs, self-employment or inactivity.
However, long tenures in temporary jobs enhance the probability of finding a permanent employment. Moreover, the length of
the previous job, when it terminates due to a layoff, hinders the probability of moving to employment (either permanent or
temporary). |
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Keywords: | |
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