| 中国产业结构演变与经济波动关系研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 董琨,原毅军. 中国产业结构演变与经济波动关系研究[J]. 大连理工大学学报(社会科学版), 2007, 28(2): 9-12 |
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| 作者姓名： | 董琨 原毅军 |
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| 作者单位： | 大连理工大学,经济系,辽宁,大连,116023 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社会科学规划项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 经济波动理论已成为国内外学者研究的现实热点,但对于产业结构变动和经济波动之间的关系还存在较大的理论分歧.通过运用时间序列经济计量技术对中国的产业结构变动和实际经济增长的关系进行实证分析,可发现:格兰杰因果关系检验证实产业结构变动是影响中国实际经济增长的重要原因,而实际经济增长对产业结构变动没有显著的影响.
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| 关 键 词： | 产业结构演变 经济波动 格兰杰因果关系检验 HP滤波分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-407X(2007)02-0009-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-03-21 |
Research on relationship between structural change and economic fluctuation in China''''s industries |
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| DONG Kun,YUAN Yi-jun. Research on relationship between structural change and economic fluctuation in China''''s industries[J]. Journal of Dalian University of Technology(Social Sciences), 2007, 28(2): 9-12 |
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| Authors: | DONG Kun YUAN Yi-jun |
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| Abstract: | Based on the normal theory of economic fluctuation,this paper analyzed the relationship between structural change and the economic fluctuation by time series technology.The Granger causality test shows that the adjustment of economical structure is the important reason of economic fluctuation,but the economic fluctuation has no obvious effect on the structural change. |
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| Keywords: | structural change economic fluctuation Granger causality test HP filter analysis |
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