黑龙江省经济增长与能源消费关系的实证研究

采用协整分析、Granger因果关系检验和误差修正模型,利用黑龙江省1980~2006年的GDP与能源消费数据,对黑龙江省经济增长和能源消费之间的关系进行了检验。研究结果表明,黑龙江省经济增长与能源消费之间存在协整关系,并且存在从经济增长到能源消费的单向因果关系,即黑龙江省的经济增长是非能源依赖型的。在研究结果的基础上提出了黑龙江省经济发展与节能降耗的对策建议。

An Empirical Research:The Relationship between Economy Growth and Energy Source Consumption in Heilongjiang Province

The relationship between economy growth and energy source consumption in Heilongjiang province was tested through co-integration analysis,Granger causality test and error correct model by using the data of GDP and energy consumption from 1980 to 2006.The result show that there is a co-integration relation between GDP and energy consumption in Hilongjiang province.In addition,single-direction Granger causality relationship from economy growth to energy consumption is found,indicating that the economy growth in Heilongjiang province is not dependent on the energy consumption.Some countermeasures and suggestions on the economy growth and energy saving.are also proposed