| 信息产业与经济增长：基于协整和灰色关联理论的研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 吴先华,郭际.信息产业与经济增长：基于协整和灰色关联理论的研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2006,21(2):27-29,47. |
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| 作者姓名： | 吴先华 郭际 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 南京信息工程大学,公共管理系,江苏,南京,210044;东南大学,集团经济与产业组织研究中心,江苏,南京,210096
2. 南京信息工程大学,公共管理系,江苏,南京,210044;南京航空航天大学,经济管理学院,江苏,南京,210016 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章运用时间序列经济计量方法对1991~2003年间我国信息产业在实际经济增长中的作用进行实证分析,证明信息产业对GDP增长存在着格兰杰因果关系,并在长期内稳定地存在着协同互动的均衡关系。并进一步用灰色关联理论测算了信息产业与三次产业的灰色关联度,得到了富有启示意义的结论。
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| 关 键 词： | 信息产业 经济增长 协整检验 格兰杰因果检验 灰色关联度 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-3116(2006)02-0027-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年11月8日 |
Information Industry and Economic Growth: A Study Based on Co-integration and Grey Correlation Theory |
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| WU Xian-hua,GUO Ji.Information Industry and Economic Growth: A Study Based on Co-integration and Grey Correlation Theory[J].Statistics & Information Tribune,2006,21(2):27-29,47. |
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| Authors: | WU Xian-hua GUO Ji |
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| Abstract: | Based on time series and econometric methods,this paper makes an empirical analysis on the influence which information industry acts on the actual economic growth from 1991 to 2003 in China,and proves that information industry has Granger causality relation to GDP growth,and there exists stable equilibrium between them in a long run.Moreover,using the theory of gray correlation,this paper predicts the gray correlation between information industry and the first industry,the second industry and the third industry,and then gets the meaningful conclusion. |
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| Keywords: | information industry economic growth co-integration test Granger causality test gray correlation |
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