The offender group reconviction scale: a statistical reconviction score for use by probation officers |
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Authors: | John Copas,& Peter Marshall |
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Affiliation: | University of Warwick, Coventry, UK,;Home Office, London, UK |
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Abstract: | The criminal courts in England and Wales may request the probation service to submit pre-sentence reports which are considered by magistrates and judges before making their sentencing decision. Pre-sentence reports must include an assessment of the risk of reoffending and the risk of harm to the public which the convicted offender presents. The offender group reconviction scale is a statistical aid to such risk assessment. We describe the scale and the statistical analysis on which it is based, and we discuss some statistical aspects of its interpretation and use. |
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Keywords: | Logistic regression Recidivism Risk score |
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