Improving Scientists'Judgments of Risk |
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| Authors: | Kenneth R. Hammond Barry F. Anderson Jeffrey Sutherland Barbara Marvin |
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| Affiliation: | Center for Research on Judgment and Policy, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, Colorado.;Portland State University.;University of Colorado Health Sciences Center. |
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| Abstract: | Scientists disagree in their risk analyses because they use intuitive judgments to generalize results from the laboratory to circumstances not yet studied. If this assertion is correct, techniques intended to reduce intuitive judgments and increase analytical cognition should reduce scientific dispute. The results of a test case involving allegedly high risk and sharp dispute among scientists are described. |
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| Keywords: | risk judgments conflict resolution social policy plutonium lung cancer |
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