世纪之交"增长速度之迷"的一种新解释:工业化进程学说

对中国来说,保持较高的GDP增长速度具有重要意义.但是,1992年以来我国GDP增长速度持续有所下滑,而现行理论却未能很好地解释这一现象,以致于影响到目前及今后战略决策的科学性.中国GDP增长速度的持续下滑其实是工业化过程的必然结果,是工业化进程规律的必然反映.因此我们应顺应其规律要求,转变发展思路,坚持内需、外需结合拓展,并通过构建"缘西边境国际经济合作带"的方式提升GDP增长速度.

Industrialization Process :A New Explanation for the "Increase Rate Puzzle" at the Turn of the Century

It is of vital significance for China to maintain a higher GDP increase rate. But since 1992 the increase rate of China's GDP has been going down, which cannot be reasonably explained by the existing theories. As a result, strategic decisions of the country for the present and the near future will be affected. In fact, the fall of the increase rate of China's GDP results from the industrialization process, a necessary reflection of the law guiding industrialization. The right reaction is to promote demands of both home and abroad and to structure an "international economic cooperation belt along the western borders" by conforming to development laws and altering our developing approaches. Then China's GDP increase rate is likely to go up.