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Goodness-of-fit testing under long memory
Authors:Hira L Koul  Donatas Surgailis
Institution:1. Department of Statistics and Probability, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI 48824-1027, USA;2. Vilnius Institute of Mathematics and Informatics, 08663 Vilnius, Lithuania
Abstract:This paper discusses the problem of fitting a distribution function to the marginal distribution of a long memory moving average process. Because of the uniform reduction principle, unlike in the i.i.d. set up, classical tests based on empirical process are relatively easy to implement. More importantly, we discuss fitting the marginal distribution of the error process in location, scale, location–scale and linear regression models. An interesting observation is that in the location model, location–scale model, or more generally in the linear regression models with non-zero intercept parameter, the null weak limit of the first order difference between the residual empirical process and the null model is degenerate at zero, and hence it cannot be used to fit an error distribution in these models for the large samples. This finding is in sharp contrast to a recent claim of Chan and Ling (2008) that the null weak limit of such a process is a continuous Gaussian process. This note also proposes some tests based on the second order difference for the location case. Another finding is that residual empirical process tests in the scale problem are robust against not knowing the scale parameter.
Keywords:Moving averages  Residual empirical process  Second order expansion
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