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Statistic inference for a single-index ARCH-M model
Authors:Qiang Xiong  Yuan Li
Affiliation:1. Department of Statistics, School of Economics and Statistics, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, China;2. Center for Statistical Science of Lingnan, Guangzhou University, Guangzhou, China;3. School of Mathematics and Comutationam Science, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
Abstract:For a single-index autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH-M) model, estimators of the parametric and non parametric components are proposed by the profile likelihood method. The research results had shown that all the estimators have consistency and the parametric estimators have asymptotic normality. We extend this line of research by deriving the asymptotic normality of the non parametric estimator. Based on the asymptotic properties, we propose Wald statistic and generalized likelihood ratio statistic to investigate the testing problems for ARCH effect and goodness of fit, respectively. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the finite-sample performance of the proposed estimation methodology and testing procedure.
Keywords:ARCH effect  Asymptotic property  Goodness of fit  Profile likelihood estimation  Single-index ARCH-M model.
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