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The ruin probabilities of a discrete time risk model with one-sided linear claim sizes and dependent risks
Authors:Rongfei Liu  Fenglong Guo
Institution:1. School of Mathematical Sciences, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, P.R. China;2. Key Laboratory of Jiangsu Financial Engineering, Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing, P.R. China
Abstract:This article investigates the ruin probabilities of a discrete time risk model with dependent claim sizes and dependent relation between insurance risks and financial risks. The risk-free and risky investments of an insurer lead to stochastic discount factors {θn}n ? 1. The claim sizes are assumed to follow a one-sided linear process with independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) innovations {?n}n ? 1. The i.i.d. random pairs {(?n, θn)}n ? 1 follow a common bivariate Sarmanov-dependent distribution. When the common distribution of the innovations is heavy tailed, we establish some asymptotic estimates for the ruin probabilities of this discrete time risk model.
Keywords:Asymptotic estimate  Bivariate Sarmanov distribution  Dependent insurance and financial risks  Heavy tail  One-sided linear process  Ruin probability  
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