泛珠九省入境旅游客源市场与旅游创汇研究

利用2004～2011年旅游数据，选择偏离-份额方法，构建海外游客的相对价值指数和相对人均价值指数，对泛珠三角内地九省（泛珠九省）入境旅游客源市场结构和旅游创汇的变动研究发现：泛珠九省入境旅游发展和海外游客人均创汇均领先全国，后者优势逐渐减弱，而旅游总体创汇水平尚未提高至国内平均水平；江西、海南、湖南入境旅游发展位居泛珠九省前列，福建旅游创汇和广东海外游客人均创汇的优势明显且增强。关键词：偏离-份额方法;相对价值指数;相对人均价值指数;入境旅游;泛珠九省

On Inbound Tourism Market and International Tourism Receipts in Inland Nine Provinces of the Pan-Pearl River Delta Based on Shift-Share Method and Value Index

This paper, based on the tourism data from 2004 to 2011 and by choosing the Shift-Share Method and constructing the overseas tourist''s Relative Value Index and Relative Per capita Value Index, studies the transmutation of inbound tourism market and the international tourism receipts in the inland nine provinces of the Pan-Pearl River Delta. Results show that the development of the nine provinces'' inbound tourism and the per international receipts from overseas tourists have surpassed the national average level, and the latter advantage has gradually weakened, whereas the international tourism receipts have not reached the national average level. Among the inbound tourism development of the inland nine provinces of the Pan-Pearl Rive Delta, Jiangxi Province, Hainan Province and Hunan Province top other provinces, and the advantages of the international tourism receipts in Fujian Province and the per international tourism receipts in Guangdong Province are striking and improving.