南部沿海地区经济增长溢出效应的实证分析

利用区域间投入产出表的基本流量数据，采用Miller—Round模型测算了南部沿海地区的区内乘数效应及其与国内各区域相互溢出效应。结果显示，南部沿海对国内其他区域的溢出效应较大，发挥着引领全国经济的火车头作用；由于南部沿海地区的外向型经济特征，它从国内其他区域获得的溢出效应却较小；南部沿海地区的溢出效应具有空间邻近性特征，与东部沿海、中部、西南地区相互溢出效应较大。

An Empirical Study on Spillover Effect of Economic Growth in South Coastal Region in China

Based on the data in bare flows from multiregional IOT in China＇ s 8 regions and with Mill Round Model, this paper measured the intraregional multiplier effect of south coastal region and the interregional spillover effect between south coastal region and other 7 regions in China. Result shows that south coastal region has strong spillover effect to other 7 regions and plays a leading role in China＇ s economic development; it has relatively weak spillover effect from other 7 regions due to its outward-oriented economy features; the interregional spillover effect is stronger between south coastal region and its contiguous regions, such as east coastal region, central region and southwest region, than that between south coastal region and other regions.