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我国城市化发展与FDI的动态关系研究
引用本文:黄河,周春光,袁瑶南.我国城市化发展与FDI的动态关系研究[J].统计教育,2009(8):13-17.
作者姓名:黄河  周春光  袁瑶南
作者单位:[1]西南民族大学经济学院 [2]西南科技大学 [3]交通银行四川省分行
摘    要:本文基于VAR模型对1979—2008年间我国城市化发展与实际利用外商直接投资水平的动态关系做了实证分析。研究显示,城市化发展与FDI之间长期协整,存在FDI到城市化发展的单向因果关系。FDI对我国的城市化发展有促进效应,影响随时间推移有减弱趋势,我国的城市化进程对FDI有负的效应。

关 键 词:城市化  FDI  动态关系  VAR模型

Empirical Study on Dynamic Relationship between Urbanization Development and FDI in China
Huang He,Zhou Chunguang,Yuan Yaonan.Empirical Study on Dynamic Relationship between Urbanization Development and FDI in China[J].Statistical education,2009(8):13-17.
Authors:Huang He  Zhou Chunguang  Yuan Yaonan
Institution:Huang He, Zhou Chunguang, Yuan Yaonan
Abstract:This paper analyses the dynamic relationship between China's urbanization development and FDI from 1979 to 2008 based on a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. The empirical result indicates that there exists a long-term cointegration relationship between urbanization development and FDI. Also it is found that there exists a uni-directional causal relationship running from FDI to urbanization development. It is proved that FDI has played positive role in affecting the development of urbanization and its effect will gradually decrease along with the times, and the process of urbanization has played negative role to FDI.
Keywords:urbanization  FDI  dynamic relationship  VAR model
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