居民消费与创新能力关联性研究

基于1986~2012年样本数据，从总量和结构两个角度研究居民消费与创新能力之间的关联性。对数据单位根检验、协整分析以及Granger因果检验显示:居民消费与创新能力表现出一定的关联性为:提升创新能力对促进居民消费具有显著的积极作用，而居民消费对创新能力的提升作用不明显，城镇居民消费对创新能力的提升比农村居民消费更为显著；居民消费结构构成原创能力的Granger原因，两者呈长期负均衡关系。为此，应充分发挥创新能力在促进居民消费和拉动内需中的积极作用，形成有效传导机制，使居民消费成为创新能力提升的重要驱动力。

Research on relevance of residents consumption and innovation ability

Based on the sample data from 1986 to 2012, the paper researches the relevance of residents consumption and innovative ability from two aspects: total amount and structure. Through the data unit root test, co-integration analysis and Granger causality test, it shows that: residents consumption and innovation ability shows a certain relevance: improving innovation ability has a significant positive effect on promoting residents consumption, while the effect of residents consumption on the promotion of innovation ability is not so obvious; the effect of consumption on the promotion of innovation ability of the urban residents is more significant than that of rural residents; as for the Granger reason for the original ability of residents consumption structure, these two show a long run relationship of disequilibrium. Therefore, the positive role of innovation ability on promoting residents consumption and stimulating domestic demand should be fully played, and form an effective transmission mechanism, which can makes residents consumption become an important driving force for promoting innovation ability.