| 重庆耕地面积减少的CGE模拟分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 冉茂盛,王蘅.重庆耕地面积减少的CGE模拟分析[J].重庆大学学报(社会科学版),2011,17(5):19-25. |
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| 作者姓名： | 冉茂盛 王蘅 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆大学经济与工商管理学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部人文社科规划基金项目“城乡统筹下农村土地的合理利用与优化配置问题及政策研究(以重庆市为例)”(09YJA790204) |
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| 摘 要： | 文章介绍了重庆市一般均衡模型(CGE模型)的基本结构,并模拟分析了耕地面积减少对重庆经济的影响。研究表明:耕地减少对种植业造成较大的负面影响,引起了消费、投资的减少和城镇居民的福利降低。耕地减少引起了净流出的增加,并促使农业劳动力向非农产业转移,改善了农村居民的福利。应制定合理的土地利用规划降低耕地减少带来的负面影响。
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| 关 键 词： | 一般均衡模型 耕地减少 重庆经济 |
An Analysis of Chongqing Cultivated Land Reduction Base on Chongqing CGE Model |
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| RAN Mao-sheng and WANG Heng.An Analysis of Chongqing Cultivated Land Reduction Base on Chongqing CGE Model[J].Journal of Chongqing University(Social Sciences Edition),2011,17(5):19-25. |
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| Authors: | RAN Mao-sheng and WANG Heng |
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| Institution: | RAN Mao-sheng,WANG Heng(College of Economics and Business Administration,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044,P.R.China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper introduces the basic structure of Chongqing CGE Model,on which an analysis about the impact of cultivated land reduction on Chongqing economy is based.The simulation results show that the reduction of cultivated land could bring negative effects on the planting industry,reduce the consumption and investment,and also cause the welfare loss of urban residents.Cultivated land reduction may cause the net outflow increase,promote the transforming of rural labor from agricultural sectors to nonagricult... |
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| Keywords: | CGE reduction of cultivated land economy of Chongqing |
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