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An econometric and neoclassical analysis of the timing and spacing of births in Canada from 1950 to 1990
Authors:Philip Merrigan  Yvan St-Pierre
Institution:De′partement des Sciences E′conomiques, UQAM and Center for Research on Economic Fluctuations and Employment CP 8888, Succursale ?Centre-Ville”, Montre′al, Canada H3C 3P8 (Tel.: 5149873000x8385, Fax: 5149878494, e-mail: merrigan.philip@uqam.ca), CA
Center for the Analysis of Cost Effective Care, Montreal General Hospital, Livingstone Hall, 1650 Cedar Avenue, Montre′al, Canada H3G 1A4 (Tel.: 514937-6011x4746, e-mail: cyys@musica.mcgill.ca), CA
Abstract:This paper estimates a reduced form neoclassical model of Canadian fertility dynamics using an econometric technique that integrates several features not usually found in the demographic and economic literature. We find considerable support for the neoclassical model. We also find that correlated unobservables and parity stopping effects play an important role in Canadian fertility dynamics as well as other socio-demographic features of Canadian women. However, we fail to totally characterize the important drops in the fertility rate that took place for this era. Received: 2 May 1996 / Accepted: 27 March 1997
Keywords:JEL classification: J13  C41
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