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基于经济学角度的房地产泡沫分析及测度
引用本文:崔明欣,李东光,何焕新.基于经济学角度的房地产泡沫分析及测度[J].辽宁工程技术大学学报(社会科学版),2010,12(5):462-466.
作者姓名:崔明欣  李东光  何焕新
作者单位:1. 东北石油大学,经济管理学院,黑龙江,大庆,163318
2. 大庆油田有限责任公司,塔木察格分公司,黑龙江,大庆,163318
基金项目:黑龙江省教育厅人文社会科学研究基金资助项目 
摘    要:针对现有测度指标不能反映房地产泡沫的经济学本质这一不足,基于经济学中的财富效应与强周期效应理论,采用理论分析与图示结合的方法,分析了房地产泡沫与消费需求的辩证关系,及其对相关产业乃至国民经济波动的强化作用,提出了新的测度指标。该角度的分析与测度更利于从房地产供需角度及对比全社会各产业的投资角度来认识和衡量泡沫水平。

关 键 词:房地产泡沫  财富效应  强周期效应  测度指标

The analysis and measurement of real estate bubble based on economics
CUI Mingxin,LI Dongguang,HE Huanxin.The analysis and measurement of real estate bubble based on economics[J].Journal of Liaoning Technical University(Social Science Edition),2010,12(5):462-466.
Authors:CUI Mingxin  LI Dongguang  HE Huanxin
Institution:1.College of Economics and Management,Northeast Petroleum University,Daqing 163318,China;2.Tamuchage Branch,Daqing Oilfield Co.,Ltd.,Daqing 163318,China)
Abstract:Aiming at the problem that current measurement indexs can’t reflect the economics nature of real estate bubble,based on wealth effect and strong cycle effect,this study adopts graphic representation and theoretical analysis to analyze the dialectical relationship between real estate bubble and consumer demand,and its reinforcement of the fluctuation of related industries and national economy.New measurement indexs are proposed.This helps people get to know and measure the bubble from both the perspective of supply and demand of real estate,and the perspective of contrast among individual industry’s investment of the whole society.
Keywords:real estate bubble  wealth effect  strong cycle effect  measurement index
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