湖南省会展业的产业关联效应——基于投入产出模型和灰色关联理论的实证分析

会展业与相关产业存在着较强的互动发展关系，对其他产业和经济的发展有着较大的拉动作用。运用投入产出模型和灰色关联分析法，本文考察了湖南省会展业的产业关联效应。结果表明：1）湖南会展业推动了前向关联产业的发展，同时也拉动了后向关联产业的发展，其前向的经济推动作用明显强于后向的经济拉动效应；2）湖南会展业与地区生产总值和三次产业均存在较强的关联效应，其中，与第一产业关联度最大，其次为第二产业和地区生产总值；3）湖南会展业与第三产业总体关联性相对较弱，但与内部批发零售、交通运输和住宿餐饮等产业关联效应显著。为此，政府部门应积极发挥会展引导功能，加强会展配套设施的建设，促进会展业与相关产业的协同发展。

The Industrial Correlation Effect of MICE Industry in Hunan Province:An Empirical Analysis Based on Input-Output Model and the Theory of Grey Correlation

There is a strong interactive relationship between the MICE industry and other related industries, which plays a big role in promoting the development of other industries and economies. The industrial correlation effect of the MICE industry in Hunan Province is analyzed by the input-output model and the grey relational analysis theory. The results show that: 1) the MICE industry promotes the development of both forward linkage and backward linkage industries, but the forward push effect is significantly stronger than the backward pull effect; 2) the MICE industry has strong correlation effects with GDP and thrice industrial, specifically, MICE industry has a maximum correlation with the first industry, followed by the second industry and GDP; 3) the MICE industry has a relatively weak correlation with the overall third-industry, but has a strong association with the internal wholesale and retail, transportation, accommodation and catering industries. Therefore, it is suggested that the government should play an active role in the guidance for the MICE industry, strengthen the construction of exhibition facilities, and promote the coordinated development of the MICE industry and related industries.