Social Conservatism, New Republicans, and the 1980 Election |
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| Authors: | HIMMELSTEIN JEROME L; MCRAE JAMES A JR |
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| Institution: | Jerome L. Himmelstein is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Anthropology and Sociology, Amherst College. James A. McRae, Jr. is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Sociology, University of South Carolina. The authors are listed alphabetically. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 1983 AAPOR meetings. Funding for the analysis was partially provided by NIMH grant #MH-14598. The authors wish to thank James Wright for his comments on an earlier draft: Terri Taylor and Susan Urquhart for clerical assistance; Maria Dukes, Marianne Geronimo, and Eleanor Weber-Burdin for computational assistance: and the Social and Demographic Research Institute of the University of Massachusetts for use of computer facilities. |
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| Abstract: | Using data from the 1980 National Election Study, we examinethe claims (1) that those voters who shifted to Ronald Reaganin 1980 ("New Republicans") were drawn disproportionately fromthe lower to middle strata of the population: (2) that theywere social conservatives motivated by issues like abortionand ERA: and (3) that they were more religious and alienatedfrom the federal government than average. Our results stronglysuggest that all of these assertions are false and thus questionthe emergence of a "neopopulist" or "Middle American Radical"political constituency on the right wing of American politics.Our findings also have implications for prominent theories aboutconservative political movements and about the changing natureof party politics in a postindustrial society. |
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