能源回弹效应测算的改进模型及其实证研究

技术进步引致的能源回弹效应的存在使传统能源效率提高的政策措施受到严峻挑战,回弹效应的测算也随之成为关注的焦点。针对现有文献研究的缺憾,引入影响能源效率的产业结构调整因素,基于对数平均迪氏指数法量化技术进步对能源效率的影响作用,进而构建回弹效应测算的改进模型。对中国宏观经济层面能源回弹效应的实证研究表明,技术进步对能源效率的影响是一个动态变化的过程;回弹效应在不同的时间段有不同程度的波动,并显示出下降的趋势。

Improved Model for Evaluating Rebound Effect of Energy Resource and Its Empirical Research

The traditional policies and measures to improve energy efficiency are challenged severely since the existence of rebound effect and the calculation is the focus.The effect of technical progress was quantified based on logarithmic mean Divisia index(LMDI).The improved model of the rebound effect of energy resource was constructed.It is concluded from the empirical research are: the influence from technical progress to energy efficiency is a dynamic process;rebound effect fluctuates in different periods and it shows the descending trend.