青岛市蓝色经济区建设的海洋资源承载力评价

从胶州湾海域资源环境供给和青岛市海洋产业增长需求的角度，构建了青岛市海洋资源承载力综合评价指标体系，利用模糊综合评价方法，对青岛市2001--2010年间海洋资源承载状况进行测度。结果表明，2001—2006年及2008年青岛市海洋资源承载力处于超载状态，其余年份处于适载状态。海岸带开发的港口建设在一定程度上提高了海洋资源的供给能力，但传统海洋产业的排污需求依然较大，是海洋资源承载力超载的重要原因。建议在蓝色经济区建设中，加快对传统养殖业的改造，大力发展休闲渔业、滨海旅游业等能耗低、排污少的产业。

Evaluation of Marine Resource Carrying Capacity in the Construction of Qingdao Blue Economy Zone

From the standpoints of marine resources supply and marine industry demands, this article built a comprehensive evaluation indicator system and measured marine resource carrying capacity in Qingdao from 2001 to 2010 by the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. The results showed that the development of marine industry was beyond the marine resource carrying capacity in 2001 to 2006 and 2008, and was within the carrying capacity in the rest three years. The construction of the seaports has increased the supply ability of marine resources to some extent, but the pollution caused by traditional marine industries is still huge, and is a major cause for the bad performance of marine resource carrying capacity. It is suggested that traditional aquaculture should be reformed, and environment friendly industries like recreation fishery and tourism should be developed in the process of constructing the blue economy zone.