政治风险视域下国际工程项目系统的脆弱性研究

基于项目系统脆弱性的视角,分别从能力维度(核心竞争力、相对议价能力和综合适应能力)和风险暴露维度(项目属性的暴露、企业属性的暴露和交易属性的暴露),识别并探讨影响国际工程项目系统相应于政治风险的脆弱性因素,并依据能力维度和暴露维度的高低将系统脆弱性分成4种状态,针对每种脆弱性状态的特点,给出承包商可采取的相应策略.最后选取了6个典型国际工程项目进行了实证分析.结果表明:中国的国际承包商在高政治风险区域展开国际业务时,可依据项目系统所面临政治风险时的脆弱性状态采取合适的策略以更好地管理政治风险.

Research on Vulnerability of International Construction Project:from the View of Political Risk

Based on the view of system vulnerability, the project system vulnerability to political risks is discussed from two dimensions: capacity dimension(i.e. core competitive capacity, relative bargain capacity and integrate adaptive capacity)and exposure dimension(project-based exposure, firm-based exposure and transaction-based exposure). Four typologies of project system vulnerability involving varying exposure and capacity are identified. The features and feasible countermeasures of each typology are discussed in this paper. Empirical analysis is conducted through selecting six ongoing projects. The results show that based on the status of project system vulnerability to political risks, Chinese international contractors can adopt appropriate strategies to manage political risks in those markets associated with highly political risks.