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Expansions of the coverage probabilities of prediction region based on a shrinkage estimator
Authors:Yuji Sakamoto  Yoshikazu Takada  Nakahiro Yoshida
Institution:1. Department of Kansei Information, Faculty of Human Environment , Hiroshima International University , 555-36 Gakuendai, Kurose-cho, Kamo-Gun, Hiroshima, 724-0695, Japan y-sakamo@he.hirokoku-u.ac.jp;3. Kumamoto University , Kumamoto, Japan;4. University of Tokyo , Tokyo, Japan
Abstract:An expansion formula for the coverage probability of prediction region based on a shrinkage estimator proposed by Joshi Joshi, V. M. (1967). Inadmissibility of the usual confidence sets for the mean of a multivariate normal population. Ann. Math. Statist., 38, 1868–1875.] is obtained. Its error bound is evaluated in terms of a function of an unknown parameter. Applying this result, three types of asymptotic expansions are derived. These expansions show inadmissibility of the usual prediction region.
Keywords:Asymptotic expansion  Malliavin calculus  Prediction region  Inadmissibility
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