浮动汇率制下出口企业汇率风险承受能力研究--基于机电行业的实证分析

我国机电产品主要出口北美、欧盟和日本。在浮动汇率制及“一带一路”发展战略的背景下，我国机电产品出口不同国家或地区的贸易额度受汇率波动的影响较大。利用2000—2014年我国机电行业出口上述国家或地区的贸易年度数据，实证分析人民币在兑美元、欧元和日元结汇条件下我国机电出口企业汇率风险承受能力的变化大小。研究表明：我国机电出口企业汇率风险承受能力受汇率波动影响最明显的是美元区，其次是欧元区，最后是日本。

Research on Export Enterprises Exchange Rate Risk Bear Ability Under Floating Exchange Rate System:An Empirical Analysis Based on Electromechanical Industry

China’s electromechanical products are mainly exported to north America,European union and Japan markets. Under the floating exchange rate system and“Belt and Road”development strate-gy,the trade volume of China’s electromechanical products exported to different countries or regions is affected by the exchange rate fluctuations. The authors used the trade annual datas,from 2000 to 2014,which are China’s electromechanical industry export of the above mentioned countries or re-gions,and empirically analyzed the change size of the ability of China’s electromechanical export en-terprises to bear exchange rate risk in the conditions of RMB to U. S. dollar,euro and yen exchange settlement. The research shows that in the three export markets of electromechanical products,the most effect of exchange rate fluctuations on the bear ability of electromechanical export enterprises is the dollar area,followed by the euro area and finally Japan.