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基于潜在发展态势的我国政府节能政策绩效动态多尺度评价
引用本文:朱建军,刘思峰,方志耕. 基于潜在发展态势的我国政府节能政策绩效动态多尺度评价[J]. 中国管理科学, 2008, 0(Z1)
作者姓名:朱建军  刘思峰  方志耕
作者单位:南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院;
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(70701017); 教育部人文社会科学“政府节能政策绩效的动态多尺度评价方法研究”项目成果(07JC630064); 南京航空航天大学哲学社科项目(V0739-091)
摘    要:运用我国1998年至2005年的相关指标数据,研究我国节能政策实施效果,建立我国节能政策绩效评价的指标体系。通过专家调查法和信息熵相结合的方法确定相关指标的权重,对我国节能政策绩效水平进行了评价。基于GM(1,1)模型,对我国节能政策绩效的相关指标进行了潜在态势预测,进行动态评价。

关 键 词:节能政策  绩效评价  指标体系  GM(1  1)  

Dynamic Multi-Scale Performance Evaluation on Chinese Government's Energy Saving Policies Based on Potential Development Trend
ZHU Jian-jun,LIU Si-feng,FANG Zhi-geng. Dynamic Multi-Scale Performance Evaluation on Chinese Government's Energy Saving Policies Based on Potential Development Trend[J]. Chinese Journal of Management Science, 2008, 0(Z1)
Authors:ZHU Jian-jun  LIU Si-feng  FANG Zhi-geng
Affiliation:ZHU Jian-jun,LIU Si-feng,FANG Zhi-geng (College of Economics , Management,Nanjing University of Aeronautics , Astronautics,Nanjing 210016,China)
Abstract:The related indicator-data from 1998 to 2005 was used in this paper to study the implementation effect of China's energy-saving policies.China's energy policy performance evaluation index system was also established in this paper.Moreover,the related indicator-weight was determined by the expert investigation and information entropy to evaluate the performance of China's energy-saving policies.Based on GM(1,1)model,a potential trend of China's energy-saving policies indicators was forecasted and evaluated d...
Keywords:energy-saving policies  performance evaluation  index system  GM(1  1)  
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