| 中国外贸出口与经济增长关系的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李鹏雁,丁力.中国外贸出口与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].哈尔滨工业大学学报(社会科学版),2011,13(3):53-58. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李鹏雁 丁力 |
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| 作者单位： | 哈尔滨工业大学人文与社会科学学院,哈尔滨,150001 |
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| 摘 要： | 以中国为对象,运用时间序列模型,分析1979—2008改革开放30年间出口导向型模式与进口和国内经济增长的关系,结果表明,三者间存在长期均衡关系,由此建立的回归模型显示,出口能够促进一国国内经济增长,进口是一种补充,并且进口能够推动出口。此外,由于我国的特殊情况,出口对进口的拉动作用不明显。为使出口导向型模式在国民经济发展中发挥更大作用,我国应积极从＂两个转变,两个消化＂的方向对其进行调整。
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| 关 键 词： | 出口导向型模式 外汇储备 对外依存度 内部需求 时间序列模型 |
Research on the Relationship between the Foreign Trade Export and Economic Growth of China |
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| LI Peng-yan,DING Li.Research on the Relationship between the Foreign Trade Export and Economic Growth of China[J].Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition),2011,13(3):53-58. |
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| Authors: | LI Peng-yan DING Li |
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| Institution: | LI Peng-yan,DING Li(School of Humanities and Social Science,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzes causality between export-oriented mode and import as well as domestic economic growth for China from 1979 to 2008 by using the panel data.The results indicate that,there are long-run equilibrium relationships between these variables.Panel regression models show that the export can promote a country's domestic economic growth;the import is a complement and also promotes the export.In addition,due to China's special circumstances,the impact of the export on the import is not obvious.In ord... |
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| Keywords: | export-oriented mode foreign exchange reserves external dependence domestic demand time-series mode |
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