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美元的霸权性及其对全球利益博弈的影响
引用本文:张健. 美元的霸权性及其对全球利益博弈的影响[J]. 理论与现代化, 2012, 0(3): 98-103
作者姓名:张健
作者单位:中共天津市委党校,300191
基金项目:中国博士后科学基金项目48批(2010年)
摘    要:
国际利益博弈源于国家之间需求的碰撞,自1970年代起,全球发展进入后工业社会阶段,美元作为世界货币,其表面的"美金→石油美元"转换后面,是美元信用来源的"实际财富抵押→暴力抵押"的转换;该转换带来了一个全新的世界格局,即"美元/全球资源资产"与"美元/美国国债"的双跷跷板结构。美元成为世界利益博弈的核心。2012年,美元进入第三个"17年大周期升浪"和临近"5年升值小周期",世界由此进入"美元升/全球资源资产贬"的格局之中。

关 键 词:国际利益博弈  石油美元  美元走势

The Hegemony of U.S. Dollar and Its Impact on the Global Benefit Gambling
Zhang Jian. The Hegemony of U.S. Dollar and Its Impact on the Global Benefit Gambling[J]. theory and moderization, 2012, 0(3): 98-103
Authors:Zhang Jian
Abstract:
The Global Benefit Gambling is from the collision among the needs of different countries.Since the 1970s,the global development has been at the stage of post-industrial times.As world currency,the U.S.dollar has changed in the sources of credit from the mortgage of real wealth to the violence mortgage.The transformation brings a new world order,namely,the double seesaw structure of "dollar / global resource assets" and "dollar / U.S.debt".The U.S.dollar becomes the core of Global Benefit Gambling.In 2012,the U.S.dollar is into the third cycle of "17-year of big upward move," and near "the small cycle of 5-year appreciation".And the world will enter the pattern of "dollar rise / global resource assets depreciate".
Keywords:Global Benefit Gambling  Petrodollars  Dollar trend
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